2008 Flashback: Guess # of gTLDs | DomainInvesting.com

2008 Flashback: Guess # of gTLDs

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I read Sedari’s press release (posted on TheDomains.com) announcing a game for people to guess how many applications will be received in the upcoming gTLD program. The winner of this game will receive “publicity and the admiration of the entire ICANN and domain name world for getting it right courtesy of Sedari.”

When I read the press release, it reminded me of something similar done by Minds & Machines CEO Antony Van Couvering back in 2008, when he was blogging much more regularly. Incidentally, Van Couvering’s Names At Work blog is on the short list of publications that should be read by people considering a gTLD application because it has a TON of insight. Van Couvering’s email was sent to a number of people who operate within the domain industry. Van Couvering asked:

For the record, how many new TLDs applications do you think there will be?
I’m asking people I know, and I’ll post the results on my blog.

Shortly after sending the email, the results were published, and the guesses ranged from 9 to 500. Now that 3.5 years have passed and it really does look like the gTLD program is moving forward very soon (january 12), it will be interesting to see how the perception has changed.

I had guessed just 12 applications back before I knew a whole lot about the program. If I was given the opportunity to revise my answer, I would guesstimate somewhere around 271 applications.


About The Author: Elliot Silver is an Internet entrepreneur and his company earns revenue from domain names. Elliot is President of Top Notch Domains, LLC, a company that has sold seven figures worth of domain names in the last five years. Elliot is the publisher of DomainInvesting.com. Read this blog's disclaimer for information about the publisher, comment policy, disclosures, and conflicts.

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Comments (5)

    Louise

    98

    January 3rd, 2012 at 5:21 pm

    Kevin Murphy

    Most money is on something in the 1,000-1,500 range, possibly more.

    January 3rd, 2012 at 6:00 pm

    Louise

    Right now, the # stands at 100:

    ICANN attracts 100 would-be Net domain operators
    http://news.cnet.com/8301-30685_3-57377343-264/icann-attracts-100-would-be-net-domain-operators

    I would say my guess is on the money – yay!

    February 14th, 2012 at 8:57 pm

      Elliot Silver

      @ Louise

      You misread. There are 100 applicants, and each applicant can technically make 50 gTLD applications, so there are likely far more than 100 gTLDs.

      February 14th, 2012 at 9:20 pm

    Louise

    Thanx for improving my understanding! The application period is over in March, so that will give a better idea of the threshhold of new gTLD applications.

    February 14th, 2012 at 11:58 pm

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